Research

International Macro

• Global Imbalances, Industrial Policy and Tariffs With Pierre-Olivier Gourinchas, Manasa Patnam, Lorenzo Rotunno, and Michele Ruta. online appendix

Fiscal and Inflation

• Transfers, Excess Savings, and Large Fiscal Multipliers

Labor Markets

• What Caused the Beveridge Curve to Shift Higher in the United States During the Pandemic? with Michael Girard

Nowcasting

• Gauging the Globe: The Bank's Approach to Nowcasting World GDP with Andrej Sokol

Structural VARs

• Signing-out Confounding Shocks (AEA Papers and Proceedings) — early version with online appendix with Neville Francis
• Technological and non-technological drivers of productivity dynamics in developed and emerging market economies (Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control) with Alistair Dieppe and Neville Francis
• The Identification of Dominant Macroeconomic Drivers: Coping with Confounding Shocks (forthcoming at Macroeconomic Dynamics) with Alistair Dieppe and Neville Francis
  Previously: New approaches to the identification of low frequency drivers: An application to technology shocks

Technology Shocks and Employment

• The technology-employment trade-off: industry, automation, and income effects

Bank of England Blogs

• Low real interest rates: depression economics, not secular trends
• The world trade slowdown (redux)
• Global inflation, a laboured process
• Oil is not as it seems